RootCauseunvalidated
The 2.27M ratio was trivially traceable to the 1e-9 epsilon. — recomputing with both sides as pool shares. Tension: a tag present in ~40% of sessions and ubiquitous while wandering cannot honestly be 41x over-represented. Outcome: recomputing with both sides as pool shares gave 1.3x, which matched intuition.
ec4563e1-087e-41e0-b724-af0aa6a6c144
The 2.27M ratio was trivially traceable to the 1e-9 epsilon. — recomputing with both sides as pool shares. Tension: a tag present in ~40% of sessions and ubiquitous while wandering cannot honestly be 41x over-represented. Outcome: recomputing with both sides as pool shares gave 1.3x, which matched intuition.